
US producer price index rises; still below expectations

Producer prices rose in March but still came in significantly below expectations, despite the war in Iran, which has rekindled inflation fears. The Producer Price Index (PPI) demand increased 0.5% in March, which was well below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 1.1%, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. When excluding food and energy, core PPI grew just 0.1%, falling short of the 0.5% forecast. The services side of inflation, a key focus for Federal Reserve policymakers, was flat on a month-over-month basis. Final demand rose 4% for the 12 months ended in March, which is the largest 12-month advance since the 4.7% increase in February 2023. Year-over-year, prices for final demand excluding foods, energy and trade services rose 3.6%, the largest 12-month growth since moving up 3.6% in November 2025. The increase on the producer end of prices was less than the 0.9% gain in prices consumers actually paid for the month. Core consumer prices also were soft, rising just 0.2%. Some of these components will feed directly into the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and the personal consumption expenditures index. When combining the consumer and producer price indexes and how they feed







