
FX Week Ahead: DXY resumes slide ahead of Jackson Hole

The United States dollar softened last week, with the dollar index (DXY) recording its second consecutive weekly decline as political uncertainty and shifting Federal Reserve expectations weighed on sentiment ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium. The DXY started the week at 97.8, extending its retreat from July’s push above the 100.00 level. Losses gathered pace after weak consumer sentiment data and renewed speculation about the Fed’s independence following U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating criticism of Chair Jerome Powell. Reports suggesting that Fed Governor Christopher Waller could be elevated as Powell’s replacement further fuelled speculation of a more politically influenced central bank. Trade tensions provided little relief, with tariffs on India and Russia still possible despite the temporary U.S.–China truce. Fed officials struck a mixed tone during the week. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin acknowledged consumer resilience but warned it could eventually weaken demand, while Kansas City Fed’s Jeffrey Schmid favoured patience, saying policy is “appropriately calibrated”. Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic stressed the luxury of a strong labour market, while Chicago’s Austan Goolsbee remained cautious ab