Automatic Data Processing (ADP) has announced an estimated preliminary average increase of 14,250 jobs in the four weeks ending October 11, 2025.
This marks a turnaround from the negative numbers in September as the ADP fills a void created by the government shutdown by releasing a four-week average weekly change in employment with a two-week lag every Tuesday.
“ADP's near real-time employment data, released weekly, will now provide an even clearer picture of the labour market at this critical time for the economy,” ADP chief economist, Dr Nela Richardson, said.
“This high-frequency employment pulse, like the monthly National Employment Report, is based on ADP's anonymised and aggregated administrative data on private-sector payrolls, providing a dynamic view of job creation and loss at an unprecedented level of weekly detail."
This preliminary data will be different from the closely followed National Employment Report, which measures the monthly change in job growth during the week that contains the 12th of the month and provides details of job growth by sector.
The ADP’s preliminary data will act more as a guide, offering a four-week moving average of weekly job growth that will be revised monthly with the release of the NER.
The 14,250 number reported by the ADP suggests monthly job growth totalled around 55,000 for the four weeks, marking a major increase from the -32,000 reported for September in the NER.
This number is subject to revision with the release of the NER.
